About brendanhurwitz

Tenant May Not Exist!

There is a version of the housing market story that gets told over and over, and it goes like this: prices are high, rates are high, nothing is affordable, and the only people buying are the ones with cash. That version is not wrong, exactly. It is just incomplete.

The arithmetic here is brutal and worth understanding clearly. A buyer who financed a $400,000 home at three percent in 2021 pays roughly $1,686 per month on principal and interest. That same loan at a seven percent rate costs $2,661. That gap of nearly a thousand dollars a month is why transaction volume has fallen to levels not seen in decades. Volume collapsed. Prices mostly did not.

Affordability, by the standard measure of what share of median household income goes toward the monthly payment on a median-priced home, is near its worst level since the early 1980s. That is a real problem, and it is not going away quickly. But affordability being stretched does not mean prices are about to fall sharply. What it means, practically, is that fewer people can compete for each property.

Before you look at a single listing, get your financing fully sorted. Not a rough estimate. Not a verbal confirmation from a loan officer you met once. A full pre-approval based on verified income, tax returns, bank statements, and a hard credit pull. Any agent worth working with will tell you the same thing: no pre-approval, no offer.

The appraisal is the lender’s check, not yours. If the home appraises below the contract price, the lender will only finance against the appraised value. Ask your agent what the local pattern looks like before you structure an offer without an appraisal contingency.

Negotiation works best when it is quiet and well-prepared. Before you make an offer, find out how long the listing has been active. A listing that has been sitting for six weeks with no price adjustment is a fundamentally different negotiation than a fresh listing in a neighborhood where homes sell in under a week.

For buyers with the financial cushion to handle a repair bill without panic, this market is more navigable than the headlines suggest. The homes that are right for a specific buyer’s actual needs are still moving. They are going to the people who did the homework before they started looking at listings.

Real estate rewards preparation more than it rewards timing. Waiting for a better market is a reasonable position only if your personal situation supports it, otherwise you are just paying rent while prices hold. Check up-to-date property listings and see whether what is available matches what you have been planning for.